Our long-advertised and mostly unwelcome weekend weather pattern is moving in.
A strong and slow-moving low pressure system brings several waves of rain this weekend. The latest model trends suggest the system may not be quite as wet as it looked a couple days ago. Still, soaking ran between 1 and 3 inches look common for the southern two-thirds of Minnesota. And temperatures will run about 15 degrees cooler than average.
Temperatures will be unseasonably cool this weekend across central Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Normally our high temperatures are around 70 degrees. However, our highs this weekend could be close to the coldest on record. #mnwx #wiwx pic.twitter.com/slWsttxKnK
— NWS Twin Cities (@NWSTwinCities) May 17, 2019
Our inbound low-pressure system tracks from Nebraska through Iowa into Wisconsin this weekend. It won’t rain all the time, but the dry hours will be punctuated by several hours of showers. Here’s NOAA’s GFS model this weekend.
The rainfall does not look quite as heavy as it did a few days ago. Still, many rain gauges across Minnesota will have multi-inch totals by Monday. Here’s the Canadian model’s rainfall output by Monday.
The risk of severe weather is not high this weekend. But a few storms could approach severe limits (58 mph winds/ 1″-diameter hail) in southern Minnesota.
Milder next week
Highs in the 50s will feel more like April this weekend. Temperatures recover next week. Another wave of showers arrives late Tuesday.
Memorial Day weekend in flux
I’m hesitant to jump on any nice weather bandwagons this spring. But most models suggest a milder and nicer Memorial Day weekend. NOAA’s temperature outlook divides Minnesota between cooler and warmer than average temperatures by next weekend.
How should we communicate climate changes?
I’m truly curious about your views here. Is “climate change” descriptive and urgent enough given current trends? Is “climate catastrophe” too alarmist?
Check out how the updated Guardian style guide is phrasing climate change in its reporting.
The Guardian has updated its style guide to introduce terms that more accurately describe the environmental crises facing the world.
Instead of “climate change” the preferred terms are “climate emergency, crisis or breakdown” and “global heating” is favored over “global warming,” although the original terms are not banned.
“Increasingly, climate scientists and organizations from the UN to the Met Office are changing their terminology, and using stronger language to describe the situation we’re in,” she said.
What do you think about how we should talk about climate change at MPR News?