True spring: 60s ahead 7 of the next 10 days?

NOAA via Weather Bell.

The weather maps have changed.

A more consistent springlike pattern is emerging over the next two weeks. The jet stream is likely to make the annual northward migration to a more consistent position in southern Canada over the next two weeks.

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NOAA upper air forecast for 7 pm CDT Monday April 29.

Back to the 60s

The northerly jet stream path opens the door to milder air masses spilling into the Upper Midwest. Combine fading snow cover with a higher sun angle and intensity equal to late August, and it can't stay cold for long.

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Many models push high temperatures over much of Minnesota into the 60s, for seven of the next 10 days.

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NOAA via Weather Bell.

Tuesday's sunshine and warmth may renew your faith in spring. Saturday looks likely to bring the 70s into western Minnesota. A few models give the Twin Cities a shot at the 70s Saturday.

Wednesday soaker

Wednesday brings another inbound weather system.  The American and European models suggest most of the rain will fall Wednesday, with a few leftover showers and cooler breezes Thursday.

Here's the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Global Forecast System:

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NOAA GFS model Wednesday and Thursday via tropical tidbits.

This one looks warm enough for rain. The latest model runs latch onto a faster system, which would produce a little less rainfall. That's a good thing on top of Minnesota's high rivers and saturated soils.

Rainfall between one-half and 1 inch is likely in many towns and fields, with some 1 inch-plus totals possible locally.

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NOAA GFS rainfall output through 7 pm CDT Thursday via pivotal weather.

Flood update

Rivers have been mercifully falling. Highway 41 reopening in the southwest metro is a positive development for commuters.

This week's rain will send rivers higher by next weekend, but not as high as previous crests.

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Stay tuned.