Wednesday storm delivers; watching weekend system storm track

Our Wednesday snow fest delivered as advertised by forecast models. Cue the snowplows.

Most of Minnesota picked up significant to heavy snow totals Wednesday.  Snowfall totals between 5 and 11 inches are common across Minnesota including the Twin Cities.

Preliminary snowfall totals as storm is in progress via Twin Cities National Weather Service

Snow tapers off from south to north across Minnesota Wednesday night.

Snowiest February on record 

Official snowfall updates from the Twin Cities National Weather Service at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport come every six hours. But as of noon, we had already smashed the record for the snowiest February on record at MSP.

We’re also in top 10 snowiest of any month territory at MSP airport.

Coming up for air

We catch a break from snow Thursday and most of Friday. Temperatures moderate into the 30s by the weekend. Chilly air greets us again next week. Spring will come, just not soon.

NOAA, via Weather Bell

Weekend snow threat: Storm track critical

The latest models show two trends with our potential weekend snow system.

  1. Most models now hold off the snow on Friday’s lead wave until later Friday night.
  2. Most models now favor a southeastern track that would lay out the heaviest snow band across southeast Minnesota this weekend.

Let’s drill a little deeper into the possible weekend system. The European and Canadian models favor a southern track that would produce less snow — maybe 1 to 4 inches — for most of the Twin Cities. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System model is the northern outlier. The GFS keeps the Twin Cities on the northern edge of the significant snow zone and suggests several inches in the metro.

Here’s NOAA GFS model version of events this weekend.

NOAA GFS model Friday evening into Sunday morning, via tropical tidbits

Right now I am leaning toward the more southeast track scenarios that would lay out the heaviest bands of snow this weekend along a line in Minnesota from Albert Lea to Rochester to Winona and onto Eau Claire, Wis. That scenario would produce lighter snowfall total in the Twin Cities.

In theory.

Let’s see what tomorrow’s model runs bring.

  • Yeti Man

    Great weather post as always, Paul! I’m from South Central Alaska so am no stranger to heavy snowfall amounts, but even this weather is taking my breath away (I live in Mankato currently, so we are seeing some even crazier amounts than the Twin Cities). Between the constant shots of heavy snow and then frigid sub-arctic air shots, it has me missing the winters there (at least as far as the Anchorage area is concerned, they have had barely any dips below zero and only moderate amounts of snow, making Minnesota look harsh in comparison!). Keep up the great reporting, I’ll be a faithful reader as always. 🙂

  • Michael Larsen

    No record snowfall months before 1951. Is this real or a result of reporting differences?