Wintry mix for metro Sunday evening into Monday; heaviest snow targets northeastern Minn.

We’re very consistent with our high temps at Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport.

Our Saturday high temp was 47 degrees, matching Friday’s high temp at MSP airport.

It was a great afternoon to be outdoors:

Highland National Golf Course in St. Paul on Saturday, Jan. 5, 2019. Ron Trenda| MPR News

Saturday’s high tied our Twin Cities metro area record high temp for Jan. 5. Friday’s high was a new Twin Cities record high for Jan. 4.

We’re not expecting 40s on Sunday.

Temperature trends

Highs in the 20s are on tap for the northern half of Minnesota on Sunday, with 30s in the south:

A few lower 40s return to the south on Monday:

Twin Cities metro highs could hit 30 early Tuesday, with temps falling through the 20s during the day. Wednesday’s high is expected to be around 20, followed by 30 on Thursday and lower 30s on Friday.

Our average Twin Cities metro area high temp is 23 degrees this time of year.

Heavy snow for the north Sunday night into Monday

A mix of rain and snow is expected to spread across southern Minnesota and the Twin Cities metro area Sunday evening, while snow spreads across most of central and northern Minnesota. Snow continues to the north overnight Sunday night and into Monday. The metro area and most of southern Minnesota will probably see a mix of rain/snow Sunday night and early Monday, but southeastern Minnesota could have mostly rain. Pockets of light freezing rain are also possible in the metro area and southern Minnesota Sunday evening and Sunday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon:

NOAA NAM simulated radar from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon, via tropicaltidbits

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of snow or rain.

The heaviest snow amounts Sunday night into Monday morning are expected to be over northeastern Minnesota and northwestern Wisconsin:

NWS Duluth

“Tomorrow night” in the graphic title refers to Sunday night.

The northern part of the Twin Cities metro area could see 1-3 inches of snow Sunday night into early Monday, with less than one inch of snow in the south metro.

Here are details of the winter storm warning that begins at 10 p.m. Sunday in Cook and Lake counties of northeastern Minnesota:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Duluth MN
253 PM CST Sat Jan 5 2019

…HEAVY SNOW LIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY…

.A winter storm system is headed for the Northland late this
weekend. Snow will spread through the region Sunday evening
through early Monday afternoon from west to east. The greatest
snowfall amounts are expected along the North Shore of Lake
Superior.

MNZ012-020-021-061200-
/O.UPG.KDLH.WS.A.0001.190107T0400Z-190107T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0001.190107T0400Z-190107T2000Z/
Northern Cook and Lake-Southern Lake-Southern Cook-
Including the cities of Isabella, Two Harbors, Silver Bay,
and Grand Marais
253 PM CST Sat Jan 5 2019

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 2 PM CST
MONDAY…

* WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 13
inches expected.

* WHERE…Northern Cook and Lake, Southern Lake and Southern
Cook Counties.

* WHEN…From 10 PM Sunday to 2 PM CST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Travel could be very difficult to
impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning
commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather
conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you
must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your
vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for Minnesota can be found at
511mn.org, and for Wisconsin at 511wi.gov, or by calling 511 in
either state.

And details of the winter storm watch that begins at 8 p.m. Sunday from north-central Minnesota through Duluth and parts of northwestern Wisconsin:

MNZ010-011-019-037-WIZ001-002-061200-
/O.CON.KDLH.WS.A.0001.190107T0200Z-190107T1600Z/
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Central St. Louis-
Carlton and South St. Louis-Douglas-Bayfield-
Including the cities of International Falls, Ely, Hibbing,
Duluth, Superior, Washburn, and Bayfield
253 PM CST Sat Jan 5 2019

…WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING…

* WHAT…Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 7
inches possible.

* WHERE…In Wisconsin, Douglas and Bayfield Counties. In
Minnesota, Central St. Louis, Koochiching, North St. Louis and
Carlton and South St. Louis Counties.

* WHEN…From Sunday evening through Monday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Travel could be very difficult. The
hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.

As always, updated weather information can be heard on the Minnesota Public Radio Network, and you’ll also see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

You can check the latest forecasts, watches and warnings from the NWS offices in the Twin CitiesDuluth and Grand Forks, N.D.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.