Near-miss? Heaviest Friday night snow likely falls south, west of Twin Cities

Here’s an update on our inbound clipper for southern Minnesota Friday night.

The latest model runs confirm my thinking from Thursday night that the heaviest snow zone will pass just south and west of the Twin Cities.

In fact, the latest snowfall zone and totals look pretty similar to this tweet from 9:55 p.m. Thursday.

Friday’s model runs continue to suggest the heavier snow zone in southern Minnesota will run either side of a Canby-New Ulm-Redwood Falls-Mankato-Albert Lea line Friday night.

The latest National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NAM 3-km resolution model shows a glancing snow blow for the Twin Cities with the heaviest snowfall south and west of Minneapolis-St. Paul.

NOAA NAM 3-km resolution model between 5 pm and 2 am tonight, via tropical tidbits

Here are the latest winter weather advisories map and snowfall totals as of the time of this post. My feeling is snowfall totals will trend less than this in the Twin Cities area. But that’s why they play the games right?

The latest model trends suggest snow will begin to arrive in the Twin Cities Friday between about 5 p.m. and 8 p.m.

Stay tuned for updates as the system evolves. I’ll have the latest radar and model trends on MPR News 91.1FM at 4:48 pm and 5:48 pm Friday afternoon.