A quiet Sunday in Minnesota; blizzard warnings in southern Iowa, winter storm will clip SE Wisconsin

It'll be a chilly Sunday across Minnesota, but we won't be doing any shoveling.

The heavy snow will fall well to our south today.

On to the details.

Storm track and warnings

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As we wind up this holiday weekend, a winter storm will affect some travelers to our south and southeast.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern from Sunday morning through Monday morning:

rt1125rad
NOAA NAM simulated radar from noon Sunday morning through Monday morning, via tropicaltidbits

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of rain and snow.

Heavy snow and strong winds will spread from Kansas and Nebraska through southern Iowa, northern Illinois and parts of southeastern Wisconsin this Sunday and Sunday evening.

The National Weather Service has issued blizzard warnings from Kansas and Nebraska through southern Iowa and northwestern Missouri, with winter storm warnings in southeastern Iowa, northern Illinois and southeastern Wisconsin:

rt1125wrn2
NOAA/NWS Warnings Sunday and Sunday night

There are winter weather advisories along the northern and southern flanks of the warnings.

Here are some blizzard warning details from the Des Moines, Iowa office of the NWS:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Des Moines IA

722 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...Potent Winter Storm to Affect Southern Half of Iowa Today...

A strong winter storm will spread snow across much of the southern

half of Iowa today with moderate to heavy accumulations resulting.

Strong north winds will accompany and follow the snow, with

blizzard conditions expected in southern Iowa. A tight gradient of

snow is expected near the Interstate 80 corridor with light

amounts to the north and heavy amounts just to the south.

IAZ062-071>074-081>084-092>095-252130-

/O.CON.KDMX.BZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-181126T0300Z/

Poweshiek-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Adams-Union-Clarke-Lucas-

Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-

Including the cities of Grinnell, Greenfield, Stuart, Adair,

Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham, Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle,

Pella, Knoxville, Corning, Creston, Osceola, Chariton, Bedford,

Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, Lamoni, Leon, Corydon, Seymour,

Allerton, and Humeston

722 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS

EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations

of 5 to 10 inches expected with highest amounts toward the

Missouri border. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Southern Iowa.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 9 PM CST Sunday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could become extremely dangerous

due to icy, snow-covered roads and significantly reduced

visibilities to near zero at times from blowing snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are

expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds

and poor visibilities are likely. This will lead to whiteout

conditions, making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If

you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get

stranded, stay with your vehicle.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Details of the winter storm warning in portions of southeastern Iowa and northern Illinois:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL

352 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...Potent Winter Storm Expected Today and Tonight...

.Winter weather conditions will be moving into the area early

this morning and continuing through tonight. Precipitation will

begin early this morning and is likely to start as rain or a

rain, snow mix south of a line from Cedar Rapids, Iowa to

Freeport, Illinois with a switch to snow from north to south

through the morning and early afternoon hours.

Widespread snowfall amounts of 6 to 8 inches are expected along

an axis from south central Iowa though eastern Iowa into north

central Illinois. Areas of snowfall amounts up to 12 inches will

be possible in this axis, including the Quad Cities. Strong

north winds will develop today, leading to consierable blowing and

drifting snow and dangerous roads. Near blizzard conditions are

possible, especially over eastern Iowa into Illinois. The strong

winds, combined with heavy, wet snow may also result in downed

tree branches and power lines.

IAZ054-066-ILZ001-002-007-251800-

/O.EXT.KDVN.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-181126T1200Z/

Jackson-Clinton-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-

Including the cities of Maquoketa, Clinton, Galena, Freeport,

and Mount Carroll

352 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10

inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and southeast Iowa and

northwest Illinois.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM CST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very hazardous. Snow and

blowing snow will create near blizzard conditions at times,

with near zero visibility. Heavy, wet snow and strong winds

may result in downed tree limbs and power lines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather

conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you

must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your

vehicle in case of an emergency.

Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/quadcities

Snow totals Sunday into Sunday evening are expected to reach 8 inches or more in much of southern Iowa:

rt1125iasno3
NWS Des Moines

Potential snow totals Sunday through Sunday night for eastern Iowa into northwestern Illinois:

rt1125ia2sno
NWS Quad Cities, Iowa/Illinois

The winter storm warning in southeastern Wisconsin starts at 3 p.m. this Sunday afternoon and continues until 6 a.m. Monday:

rt1125wiwrn
NWS Milwaukee

Details of the winter storm warning in southeastern Wisconsin:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI

356 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...MAJOR TRAVEL IMPACTS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.Dangerous travel conditions are expected late this afternoon and

all evening across southeast Wisconsin due to the combination of

heavy snow and strong winds. Near blizzard conditions are expected

in far southeast Wisconsin. Highest snow amounts will be in

southeast Wisconsin where 6 to 9 inches of snow is forecast.

Some minor changes in the track could mean some big differences

in snow totals for the region. There will be a tight gradient

between heavy snow and no snow in the Iowa, Lafayette, Dane,

Jefferson, Dodge, and Sheboygan county areas.

WIZ065-066-068-251800-

/O.UPG.KMKX.WW.Y.0019.181125T1500Z-181126T0600Z/

/O.EXB.KMKX.WS.W.0005.181125T2100Z-181126T1200Z/

Waukesha-Milwaukee-Green-

Including the cities of Waukesha, Brookfield, New Berlin,

Menomonee Falls, Muskego, West Allis, Wauwatosa, Greenfield,

Franklin, Oak Creek, South Milwaukee, Cudahy, Monroe,

and Brodhead

356 AM CST Sun Nov 25 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO

6 AM CST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow is expected with total accumulations of 4 to 7

inches. Highest amounts are likely in southeast portions of the

counties. Winds gusts of 25 to 35 mph are expected, with highest

gusts and possible blowing snow late this evening. Wind gusts up

to 40 mph are possible near Lake Michigan.

* WHERE...Waukesha, Milwaukee and Green Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM CST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on snow covered and slippery roads.

The falling snow and patchy blowing snow could also reduce

visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather

conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you

must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your

vehicle in case of an emergency.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Here are potential snow totals for Wisconsin from late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night:

rt1125wisno
NWS Milwaukee

Updated information on the winter storm will be available from these NWS offices: Des Moines, Quad Cities, Milwaukee, Chicago.

You can check on road conditions across Iowa, Wisconsin and Illinois.

Temperature trends

Sunday afternoon highs are expected to be in the teens in about the northern third of Minnesota, with 20s elsewhere.

It'll also be chilly on Monday, with highs in the teens for much of Minnesota, and lower 20s southeast:

rt1126h

Twin Cities metro area highs are expected to be in the lower 20s Tuesday, followed by middle 20s Wednesday. We could touch 30 degrees on Thursday, with low to mid 30s on Friday.

As always, updated weather information can be heard on the Minnesota Public Radio Network, and you will also see updated weather info on the MPR News live weather blog.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.