Heavy rain at times through Tuesday night; some flash flooding likely

We’ve already seen some downpours in Minnesota and western Wisconsin Tuesday afternoon, and much more rain is on the way Tuesday evening and overnight.

The latest thinking on our flash flood potential:

And this from the La Crosse, Wis., National Weather Service office:

While the highest flash flood potential appears to be over portions of south-central and southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin, parts of the Twin Cities metro area could also see some flash flooding.

A flash flood watch has already been posted for many areas in southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin:

NWS Twin Cities

The Dakota county portion of the flash flood watch runs from 4 p.m. Tuesday until 4 a.m. Wednesday.

Severe weather risk:

Updated to include tornado watch:

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The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service shows a slight risk of severe weather Tuesday and Tuesday night over much of southeastern Minnesota and west-central and southwestern Wisconsin:

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Slight risk means that scattered severe thunderstorms are possible:

NWS Storm Prediction Center

Updated weather information can be heard on the Minnesota Public Radio Network, and updates are also posted on the MPR News live weather blog.