The effects of Hurricane Florence are now raking the Carolina coast.
— Jeff Gammons (@StormVisuals) September 13, 2018
The storm’s effects will last through the weekend. There are still model differences in precise track, but most agree the storm will stall and keep rain and wind across the southeast this weekend, and beyond
Here’s the latest official NHC track.
In the early hours of the storm, we’re already seeing overwash of some of the dunes along North Carolina’s Outer Banks.
#HurricaneFlorence still continues to barrel toward the coast of the Carolinas and is already causing storm surges on the Outer Banks. Here's video from Avon, N.C. as water breaches the dunes! (Video credit: Jason Cole Photography) https://t.co/xGpaSmoiBv pic.twitter.com/NUFsMCfv6f
— 13News Now (@13NewsNow) September 13, 2018
Storm surge is expected to go much higher over the next 24 hours. Flooding rainfall is still a threat. This is a double whammy for places like Wilmington, North Carolina. As the surge pushes water up rivers, heavy rains push water downstream. Where the waters meet, there is no place to go but higher.
Do not focus on the wind speed category of #Hurricane #Florence! Life-threatening storm surge flooding, catastrophic flash flooding and prolonged significant river flooding are still expected. More: https://t.co/tW4KeGdBFb pic.twitter.com/eiD4c8pkRx
— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 13, 2018
Top winds with Florence have come down some. But the surge and flood threat is still very high. NOAA isn’t pulling any punches with warning language.
Huge wind field
Overall winds have dropped some, but Florence is still a dangerously strong storm. Remember, Sandy was borderline Category 1 at landfall. Florence has a lot of kinetic energy in her wind field.
How much kinetic energy is #Florence packing in its wind field right now? About 60% as much as Irma, Ike, and Katrina did at landfall, per Mark Powell (https://t.co/qPHNLBM84p). That's still an enormous, dangerous amount. https://t.co/ruCeFOlyxH pic.twitter.com/cXmAqlIQ1A
— Bob Henson (@bhensonweather) September 13, 2018
Here’s a live link to the coast at Frying Pan Shoals south of Wilmington, NC.