Thawing out Tuesday; more snow Wednesday, then 50s and 60s next week?

The 12th biggest snowstorm in Twin Cities is finally history. But it’s still clearly evident on our lawns and fields.

The official total of 15.8″ at MSP Airport is the 12th largest on record.

More snow Wednesday

I know.

But if the models are right this could, repeat could, be our last significant snow event for a while. Possibly until next fall.

Our next system is a quick hitter and won’t linger. Looks for a wintry mix late Tuesday night favoring all snow Wednesday. NOAA’s GFS and other models suggest the heaviest snows will fall south of the Twin Cities with this one.

NOAA GFS via tropical tidbits.

A winter storm watch is up for southern Minnesota. Mercifully, they do not include the Twin Cities this time.

The heaviest 6″+ snows should bracket the I-90 corridor. The Twin Cities likely picks up some slushy accumulations on the storm’s northern edge.

Milder days ahead?

All the major forecast models are pushing much milder air into Minnesota starting this weekend and through next week. If we can melt enough snow, we should see 50s by Sunday.

NOAA via Weather Bell.

Here’s a map we have’t seen in a while. Warmer than average colors in the Upper Midwest by next week?

NOAA

Both the European and American models are putting out more consistent 50s with some 60s next week.

NOAA GFS via Meteostar.

The milder air will be welcome. The downside is if it gets too warm too fast, rapid snow melt will drive an increased river flood threat. Sometimes it seems Minnesota weather is just waiting for the next natural disaster.

Hang in there.

 

 

  • Presley Martin

    Paul, care to share any comparisons/predictions related to our current storm and the April 14th 1983 storm? I notice on the top 20 storm list two others occurred later that year in ’83 and years ’82-’85 had 9 of the top 20 storms. Are we entering a similar winter cycle? I lived in NJ at the time and I remember those as very cold winters on the east coast.