Flake or sprinkle chance today; winter storm warning much of central and northern Minnesota tonight

This doesn't feel like Spring.

Some snow showers and rain showers will move across parts of Minnesota today.

The main snow event will be tonight into very early Saturday.

It still looks like the highest snow totals tonight will be over northern Minnesota and parts of central Minnesota.

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The Twin Cities metro area could see occasional rain/snow showers from late-morning into early this afternoon, then periods of a rain/snow mix overnight and very early Saturday morning.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern today through Saturday morning:

rt0330rad
NOAA NAM simulated radar today through Saturday morning, via tropicaltidbits

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of snow or rain.

Warnings and advisories

Most of northern Minnesota and parts of central Minnesota are in a winter storm warning this Friday night for heavy snow, blowing snow and difficult travel:

rt330stry
NWS Twin Cities

The winter storm warning starts at 10 p.m. in the Duluth area, and ends at 10 a.m. Saturday:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Duluth MN

354 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...HEAVY SNOWFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE

NORTHLAND...

.An area of heavy snowfall will spread across northern Minnesota

and northwest Wisconsin tonight, leading to significant snowfall

accumulations and very poor travel conditions. Snow will begin

this evening in north-central Minnesota and spread eastward over

northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin late tonight. Snowfall

rates of over one inch per hour will be possible after midnight,

along with northerly winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts up to 30 mph,

which may cause blowing snow at times through Saturday afternoon.

Reduced visibilities down to a quarter mile or less and snow-

covered roads will be likely Saturday morning, making travel

extremely dangerous. Snow will end quickly from west to east

Saturday morning.

MNZ019-025-026-033>038-302100-

/O.UPG.KDLH.WS.A.0007.180331T0000Z-180331T1200Z/

/O.NEW.KDLH.WS.W.0010.180331T0300Z-180331T1500Z/

Central St. Louis-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-Crow Wing-

Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-Pine-

Including the cities of Hibbing, Walker, Grand Rapids,

Pine River, Brainerd, Hill City, Aitkin, Duluth, Pine City,

and Hinckley

354 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO

10 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10

inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, are expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central, north central and northeast

Minnesota.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions. Expect

significant reductions in visibility at times due to blowing

snow as winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow means severe winter weather

conditions will make travel very hazardous or impossible. If you

must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your

vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for

Minnesota can be found at 511mn.org, and for Wisconsin at

511wi.gov, or by calling 511 in either state.

In northwestern Minnesota, the winter storm warning starts at 7 p.m. and runs until 10 a.m. Saturday:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Grand Forks ND

436 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

MNZ027-028-031-032-311500-

/O.UPG.KFGF.WS.A.0005.180331T0000Z-180331T1200Z/

/O.NEW.KFGF.WS.W.0007.180331T0000Z-180331T1500Z/

/O.CON.KFGF.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-180330T1500Z/

West Becker-East Becker-East Otter Tail-Wadena-

Including the cities of Detroit Lakes, Wolf Lake, Perham,

New York Mills, Parkers Prairie, Henning, Battle Lake, Wadena,

and Menahga

436 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS

MORNING...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM

CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Two different winter weather events are expected. The

first will bring additional snow accumulations 1 to 3 inches

this morning. For the second event tonight. Blizzard conditions

will be possible. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph could cause

whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Total snow accumulations of

6 to 8 inches are expected, with localized amounts to 12 inches.

* WHERE...West Becker, East Becker, East Otter Tail and Wadena

Counties.

* WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 7 PM this evening to

10 AM CDT Saturday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, until 10

AM CDT this morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on difficult travel conditions this

morning. Travel conditions will be very difficult to near

impossible tonight. The cold wind chills as low as 20 below

zero tonight could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little

as 30 minutes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for snow and blowing snow means severe

winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous or

impossible. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food

and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest

road conditions for the state you are calling from can be

obtained by calling 5 1 1.

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will

cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered

roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

You'll notice that parts of northwestern Minnesota also have an winter weather advisory this morning.

Some areas, including St. Cloud, are in a winter weather advisory tonight:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN

349 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO

SATURDAY MORNING...

.A band of heavy snow will develop north of a low pressure system

expected to track eastward across central Minnesota and central

or northern Wisconsin. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for

Todd, Morrison, Mille Lacs, Kanabec, and Rusk counties for 4 to 7

inches of snow accumulation with areas of blowing snow. A Winter

Weather Advisory has been issued for a row of counties south of

the warning for lighter snow accumulations around 3 inches.

MNZ049>052-301800-

/O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0014.180331T0300Z-180331T1500Z/

Stearns-Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-

Including the cities of St Cloud, Foley, Elk River, and Cambridge

349 AM CDT Fri Mar 30 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO

10 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations

of 3 to 4 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Stearns, Benton, Sherburne and Isanti Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 AM CDT Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. In

addition, some reductions to visibility are likely. Winds

gusting as high as 40 mph will cause patchy blowing and

drifting snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will

cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered

roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for Minnesota can be found at

511mn.org and for Wisconsin at 511wi.gov, or by calling 5 1 1 in

either state.

In the Twin Cities metro area, the best chance of seeing a couple of inches of snow overnight would be in northern parts of Anoka and Washington counties. Most of the metro area will probably see just a light coating of snow.

Updates

Updated weather information can be heard on the Minnesota Public Radio Network, and you can see updated weather information on the MPR news live weather blog.

The Minnesota Department of Transportation will provide road condition updates.

A cold and windy Saturday

The low pressure system will be to our east on Saturday, with strong northwesterly winds over Minnesota.

Here's an hourly forecast plot for Saturday in the Twin Cities, courtesy of the National Weather Service:

rt330hour2
NWS Twin Cities

Winds (circled in purple) are expected to be in the 20 to 30 mph range with gusts close to 40 mph.

Temperatures (circled in blue) could start out around 30 degrees, then quickly drop into the 20s:

rt330hour3
NWS Twin Cities

Wind chill temperatures in the 10 to 14 degree range are expected in the metro area much of Saturday.

The winds will be much lighter on Sunday, but temps will be in the teens Sunday morning with wind chills in the single digits for awhile.

I'm expecting a lot of sunshine statewide on Sunday, with highs in the 20s in northern Minnesota and in the 30s in southern Minnesota.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.