A mild Sunday; rain and snow on Monday

Saturday was much warmer than normal in most of Minnesota, and Sunday will be another mild day.

Sunday highs will be in the 40s in much of Minnesota, with some lower 50s in the far south:

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Monday will start out mild in southern and central Minnesota, but temperatures are expected to fall during the afternoon hours.

On Tuesday, highs will be in the 20s in central and southern Minnesota, with teens north:

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Twin Cities metro area highs are expected to be in the 20s Tuesday through Friday.

Rain and snow

Northern Minnesota could see some scattered showers Sunday evening, and much of Minnesota will have a chance of showers overnight Sunday night.

Monday will feature snow spreading from northwestern into central and northeastern Minnesota.

The Twin Cities metro area and southeastern Minnesota should see mainly rain during the daylight hours of Monday, followed by a changeover to snow in the evening.

Periods of snow are expected in much of Minnesota Monday night, and it could linger into Tuesday morning in the northeast.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's North American Mesoscale forecast model shows the potential precipitation pattern Sunday evening through Monday night:

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NOAA NAM simulated radar from Sunday evening through Monday night, via tropicaltidbits

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of rain or snow.

The track of the low pressure system and the timing of the changeover to all snow will determine snow totals, but it looks like parts of northern and central Minnesota could see several inches of snow.

The Twin Cities metro area and southeastern Minnesota would tend to have lighter snow amounts, but check later forecast updates.

Winter storm watch 

The Duluth office of the National Weather Service has issue a winter storm watch that runs from 10 a.m. Monday to noon Tuesday in much of north-central and northeastern Minnesota:

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NWS Duluth

Details of the watch:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Duluth MN

913 PM CST Sat Dec 2 2017

...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 2 IN NORTHERN MINNESOTA

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.A potent low pressure system is expected to develop over eastern

Wyoming and move across the Northland Monday into Tuesday. Some

heavy snow will be possible, especially for areas north of

Highway 2 in northern Minnesota. Most of the area will see rain

to start off Monday morning, transitioning to all snow Monday

evening, with blowing snow possible due to strong northwest winds

on the backside of this low pressure system. Lingering snow and

gusty winds will persist through Tuesday morning.

MNZ010>012-018-019-031400-

/O.CON.KDLH.WS.A.0009.171204T1600Z-171205T1800Z/

Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-

North Itasca-Central St. Louis-

Including the cities of International Falls, Ely, Isabella,

Bigfork, and Hibbing

913 PM CST Sat Dec 2 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING

THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Plan on difficult travel

conditions with blowing and drifting snow possible due to

gusty northwest winds. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8

inches are possible, with localized amounts up to 10 inches.

* WHERE...Koochiching, North St. Louis, Northern Cook/Northern

Lake, North Itasca and Central St. Louis Counties.

* WHEN...From Monday through Tuesday morning. Rain may not switch

to snow until late Monday afternoon or evening in the

Arrowhead.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Significant reductions in visibility due

to blowing and drifting snow are possible. Some slick roads

will also be possible, leading to hazardous travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant

snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue

to monitor the latest forecasts.

Check later updates if you have travel planned in northern or central Minnesota from Monday into Tuesday morning.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.