November reality check today, trending milder Thanksgiving week?
That sting in your face today reminds us this is November, in Minnesota.
Northwest winds gust to 30 mph at times today. Wind chills feel like the low 20s and teens on exposed skin. Temperatures fall through the 30s. Shades of blue return to the weather maps.
Push-pull pattern continues
Weather systems continue to push through Minnesota about every 48 hours. That means a push of colder air on northwest winds behind passing lows like today. A pull of milder air ahead of the next low by Friday.
Create a More Connected Minnesota
MPR News is your trusted resource for the news you need. With your support, MPR News brings accessible, courageous journalism and authentic conversation to everyone - free of paywalls and barriers. Your gift makes a difference.
Friday's inbound system does not look as wet as earlier in the week. Precipitation totals of less than .25" look likely Friday.
Mild again Monday?
Friday and Monday look like the two mildest days for the next week. A few of the latest model runs suggest Monday's temperature forecast of 40 degrees on the image below could be conservative.
Pushing 50 on Black Friday?
Thanksgiving Day still looks chilly with highs likely in the 30s to low 40s across Minnesota. Some of the latest model runs suggest a push of milder air into Minnesota around Black Friday into the rest of Thanksgiving weekend. It's still too early for high confidence here, but the European model suggests 50s on Black Friday.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center agrees with the latest thinking on warmer than average temperatures overall in the days surrounding Thanksgiving weekend.
So far Thanksgiving week travel around the Upper Midwest looks fairly good, with the exception being some snow possible Tuesday north of the Twin Cities.
Stay tuned.