Mix to snow Friday afternoon and evening; chance of a Saturday mix

Some of us saw the sunrise this Friday morning. We haven't been able to say that very often in recent days!

Clouds are rolling back in, and precipitation will spread across much of Minnesota Friday afternoon and continue into Friday night.

Precipitation forecast

We could see mostly snow in west-central and central Minnesota Friday afternoon, with a rain-snow mix in parts of the Twin Cities metro area. The mix is expected to change to all snow at some point.

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Snow continues in most of west-central Minnesota Friday evening, then tapers off Friday night. Periods of snow are likely in much of central Minnesota and the Twin Cities metro area Friday evening and overnight Friday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model shows the potential precipitation pattern Friday and Friday evening:

rt1103rad
NOAA HRRR model simulated radar Friday and Friday evening, via tropicaltidbits

Green areas in the simulated radar loop indicate rain, blue areas are snow.

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of rain or snow.

Snow could linger in parts of eastern Minnesota until about daybreak on Saturday.

Southern and central Minnesota could also see some rain-snow showers during the daylight hours on Saturday, and periods of snow are expected in northern Minnesota.

Snow amounts and advisories

The highest snow totals (generally 3 to 4 inches) are expected to fall from west-central Minnesota through a portion of east central Minnesota:

rt1103stry
NWS Twin Cities

Accumulation totals will depend on the timing of the changeover from rain or a rain-snow mix to all snow.

Some spots in the far northern portion of the Twin Cities metro area could see 2 or 3 inches of snow by late Friday night.

Lighter amounts, around 1 inch or so, are possible for the remainder of the metro area.

Winter weather advisories have been issued for the areas where the highest snow totals are expected:

rt1103adv2
NWS Twin Cities

Here are the details of the advisory for Anoka County, which runs from 1 p.m. Friday to 7 a.m. Saturday:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN

359 AM CDT Fri Nov 3 2017

...SNOW DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT...

.An area of snow will develop across parts of west central and

central Minnesota this afternoon and spread east into portions of

west central Wisconsin tonight. Snow could accumulate to 1 to 3

inches from near Morris to Cambridge between 1 PM and 6 pm.

Moderate to heavy snow could occur across central Minnesota by

early evening with snowfall rates around an inch an hour. The snow

will spread into west central Wisconsin tonight. Total

accumulation from 2 to 4 inches is likely north of a line from

Benson...to Anoka and Chetek Wisconsin.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 1 PM until 5 AM

Saturday for much of central Minnesota. A Winter Weather Advisory

is in effect for a small part of east central Minnesota into west

central Wisconsin from 1 PM until 7 AM Saturday. The snow will

taper off from west to east through 7 am Saturday.

MNZ045-052-061-031700-

/O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0014.171103T1800Z-171104T1200Z/

Kanabec-Isanti-Anoka-

Including the cities of Mora, Cambridge, and Blaine

359 AM CDT Fri Nov 3 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO

7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected to develop into the area mainly after 3

PM. Plan on slippery road conditions by evening. Total snow

accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected.

* WHERE...Kanabec, Isanti and Anoka County.

* WHEN...1 PM today to 7 AM Saturday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expect reduced visibilities at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will

cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered

roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can

be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

You can check with the Minnesota Department of Transportation for the latest Minnesota road conditions.

Temperature trends

Friday afternoon highs are expected to be in the 30s across most of Minnesota.

On Saturday, a few lower 40s are possible in the south:

rt1104h2

Highs Sunday will range from the 20s northwest to the 40s southeast:

rt1105h2

Looking ahead, the Twin Cities metro area should see highs in the 30s Monday and Tuesday, followed by highs in the 40s Wednesday through Friday of next week.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.