Milder weekend temps; a shot at 50 next Tuesday

Friday was our fifteenth consecutive colder than normal day in the Twin Cities.

Thursday and Friday were the coldest days in that fifteen day stretch, with gusty winds and afternoon temps in the 20s.

Our weekend will be much milder than that!

Saturday highs will be mainly in the 30s across Minnesota, with some lower 40s possible from southwestern Minnesota into parts of the Twin Cities metro area.

Far northwestern Minnesota might only reach the upper 20s.

On Sunday, 30s will be common central and south, with upper 20s in the far north:

Twin Cities metro area highs are expected to be in the 40s most of next week, with lower 50s possible on Tuesday.

Precipitation outlook

Southeastern Minnesota will see some areas of light freezing rain this Saturday morning,

The National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory that runs until noon Saturday for southeastern Minnesota:

NWS Twin Cities

Looking ahead, some rain showers could move across Minnesota late Tuesday afternoon, then transition to a rain/snow mix Tuesday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Global Forecast System model shows the potential precipitation pattern late Tuesday into early Wednesday:

NOAA GFS model precipitation rate Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning, via tropicaltidbits

The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the rainfall or snowfall rate (mm per hour), not to the total amount of rain or snow.

Thanksgiving weather

Thanksgiving is celebrated on the fourth Thursday in November, so the earliest possible date for Thanksgiving is November 22.

Thanksgiving this year falls on the second earliest date possible, on November 23.

The GFS forecast model isn’t showing any big storms over Minnesota this Thanksgiving, and southwesterly winds might prevent any really chilly temps.

If that holds true, we could see highs in the 40s in the Twin Cities metro area this Thanksgiving.

Of course, we’ll fine tune that forecast as we get closer to Thanksgiving.

The coldest Thanksgiving weather in recent memory was in 2014, when the Twin Cities high temp was only 10 degrees, and we had two inches of snow on the ground.

In sharp contrast to that, I imagine that a few folks enjoyed an outdoor stroll on Thanksgiving of 2012, when our high was 60 degrees!

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday