Cool with showers possible; dry for Halloween

Our average high temperature is 52 degrees this time of year in the Twin Cities metro area. Wouldn't that feel nice?

We'll top out in the 40s Sunday afternoon in the Twin Cities and much of Minnesota, with some upper 30s in the northeast.

Cool start to the week

Monday will be windy and chilly, with highs mostly in the 30s:

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A few spots in the Twin Cities metro area and southeastern Minnesota could touch 40.

Tuesday will be chilly too, with highs mostly in the 30s:

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It'll be in the low to mid 30s at trick or treat time in the Twin Cities, with mid to upper 20s in much of central and northern Minnesota.

Twin Cities high temps are expected to be in the low to mid 40s Wednesday through Friday.

Rain and snow chances

Rain will spread across much of southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon and evening.

The Twin Cities metro area has a chance of rain showers, especially from about mid-afternoon into the evening.

Northern Minnesota has a chance of rain-snow showers Sunday afternoon and Sunday night.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model shows the potential precipitation pattern Sunday and Sunday evening:

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NOAA HRRR model precipitation Sunday and Sunday evening, via tropicaltidbits

Green areas in the simulated radar loop indicate rain, blue areas are snow. The color chart to the right of the loop refers to the strength of the signal that returns to the radar, not to the amount of rain or snow.

Minnesota will probably see some rain and snow showers at times on Monday. In the Twin Cities metro area and southern Minnesota, the chance for rain and snow showers is mainly during the afternoon and evening hours on Monday.

Warm October

Despite our recent chilly days, our average monthly temperature is running 3.7 degrees warmer than normal this October in the Twin Cities metro area:

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NWS Twin Cities

When you look at our average daily temp, which factors in the daily high and low temp, the Twin Cities has been warmer than normal on 20 of 28 days this October:

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NWS Twin Cities

Positive numbers in the “DEP” column show the number of degrees that the average daily temp was above normal on a given day.

Programming note

You can hear my live weather updates on Minnesota Public Radio at 7:49 a.m. Thursdays and Fridays, and at 7:35 a.m., 9:35 a.m. and 4:35 p.m. each Saturday and Sunday.