Ark-worthy: Storms fire again PM, flash flood watch tonight

October opens with a soggy bang in Minnesota.

Overnight thunderstorms dumped widespread rainfall totals between one-half inch and 1 inch-plus across Minnesota. Bright yellow on the Doppler storm total rainfall map below estimates 1.5 inches-plus rainfall areas.

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Storm total rainfall from Weather Underground.

Next wave develops PM and tonight

The next wave of storm fires this afternoon through tonight. NOAA's High-Resolution Rapid Refresh model favors a line of storm developing from southwest to northeast from near the Twin Cities to the west and north between about 3 p.m. and 6 p.m. Monday.

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The narrow line expands, dumping locally heavy rainfall through tonight across a good chunk of Minnesota.

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NOAA HRRR model via tropical tidbits.

We're likely see another 1 to 3 inches-plus of rainfall overnight into Tuesday. The axis of heaviest rainfall most likely straddles the northwest metro, from southwestern Minnesota through St. Cloud to the Iron Range and North Shore.

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A flash flood watch is in effect through Monday night.

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A few of the storms could approach severe limits (58 mph winds, 1 inch diameter hail) Monday afternoon and evening.

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Sun returns Wednesday

The rain pulls out of Minnesota from west to east Tuesday afternoon. We see the sun again Wednesday and Thursday.

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Twin Cities NWS

Feels like fall

Temperatures cool this week. Highs in the 60s arrive as a fall-like air mass rolls in.

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NOAA via Weather Bell

Be ready for some more locally heavy downpours late this afternoon and tonight.