Cool breezes, warm hearts today; record warmth ahead

My MPR News colleague Morning Edition Host Cathy Wurzer likes it warm. Cathy seemed a little happier than usual on our morning weather chat today. The forecast for "Wurzer Weather" in February may have put a little extra spring in her step today.

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Cathy Wurzer and Paul Huttner. Image/MPR News

Forecast models continue to crank out some unusual, even unnerving temperatures for February as we approach this weekend. But first, a brief 48-hour cold front.

The forecast for this Valentine's Day? Cold breezes and warm hearts.

'Average front'

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A "back door" cool front blows south across Minnesota on the maps today. But coll front this month are really closer to average fronts. Temperatures fall closer to average the next 48 hours, but still run a good 5 to 10 degrees above averages. The next warm front develops in the Dakotas Thursday.

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NOAA

Thursday: Extreme February warmth kicks in

Temps begin in the chilly teens Thursday morning. But balmy breezes kick in and last right through next Tuesday. Highs in the 50s, and possibly even 60s brush southern Minnesota in the days surrounding this weekend.

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Canadian GEM model 2-meter temps via tropical tidbits.

Overnight minimums could stay above freezing from Friday into Tuesday morning. That's almost unheard of in February.

Temperature numbers run "off the charts warm" from Thursday through next Tuesday. Cooler weather appears as we approach the opening days of March, but temps in the 40s are still above average!

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Custom Weather

Records will fall

Right now I'd say record highs for Friday, Sunday and Monday are quite possibly about to be broken.

The early read for the American Birkebeiner the weekend of Feb. 25 favors highs in the 30s and lows below freezing around Cable and Hayward, Wis. Stay tuned.

Major NWS data outage Monday

Date stopped flowing across National Weather Service platforms for several hours Monday. The glitch appears to be satellite related. Scary, but they got it fixed.

Lake Oroville Dam stress test continues

California's epic winter rainfall and snow has pushed the dam at Lake Oroville to the limit. Ten to 20 inches of rain has fallen since Jan. 1. Another 5 to 10 inches is on the way in a series of storms this week.

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NOAA GFS model via tropical tiddbits.

Water levels on Lake Oroville have been dropping, but the "stress test" is not over.

La La Land deluge ahead

The inbound systems will impact southern California in the coming days. Two to 4 inches of rain are likely in the Los Angeles area by the weekend.

Stay tuned.