Edge of heavy rains early Friday

Keep the umbrella handy Friday morning.

Our next soaker tracks through southern Minnesota early Friday. The latest model trends bring our inbound low pressure system a little further north. That could put the Twin Cities metro on the edge of the heavier rainfall zone Friday morning.

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NOAA

The heaviest rain, 1 to 3 inches, looks like it will fall in southern Minnesota.

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NOAA

The big question is how far north will the heavy downpours track? The overnight model runs have shifted north, and include the metro in the potential 1 inch-plus zone.

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NOAA

After a cool clammy Friday summer returns this weekend.

Either way expect some good local downpours anytime after midnight through Friday morning.

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Erika tracks shift west

Tropical Storm Erika is gaining steam and showing better organization as she churns westward.

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NOAA

The official track still put Erika dangerously close to Florida by Monday.

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NOAA

The latest overnight spaghetti models have trended west. That's not good news for the southeast U.S.

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tropicaltidbits.com