Last 60s of 2012 likely; Watching Thanksgiving night snow chance up north

60s likely one more time in southern Minnesota Wednesday

177 MaxT2_uppermissvly.png

67F record high at MSP Wednesday

Cold front blows in Thanksgiving Day

Accumulating snow? – Growing chances for accumulating snow and difficult travel conditions in northern Minnesota by Thanksgiving night

Snowy coating for the metro possible by Friday morning

Winter takes hold next week temps below freezing most (all?) of next week

Metro snow chances increase by late next week

177 ql.PNG

Mild to wild: The run up to “Turkey Day 2012”

Things are getting a bit more “interesting” on the weather maps these days.

After one more pulse of mild, near record November warmth Wednesday….a strong cold front will plow through Minnesota Thanksgiving Day.

177 wxs.png

In the metro temps will start out mild when the Turkey goes in the oven, and start dropping when the Turkey comes out Thursday. The post Thanksgiving meal walk will be increasingly brisk this year.

Growing snow chances up north Thursday Night:

I’m keeping an eye the potential for some accumulating snow and increasing winds by Thanksgiving night up north.

As the low drags a cold front through, an upper air disturbance and shot of moisture looks like it will bring snow to northern Minnesota.

Right now I see at least some snow everywhere north of a Fargo to Duluth line, with the best chances for significant accumulations between Duluth, Bemidji, International Falls, Ely and The North Shore.

3″ to 6″ is not out of the question between Duluth and Ely, and along the ridge overlooking Lake Superior by Friday morning.

177 GFS snow.PNG

Source: NOAA via

***For now, be aware that travel may become difficult with falling and blowing snow and rapidly falling temps through the 20s in northern Minnesota Thursday night!

165 wxsc.jpg

Winter locks in next week: Metro snow chances?

The suite of maps I look at each day all agree on one thing for next week.

It’s going to get cold and stay cold.

Temps may fall below freezing this weekend, and stay there through most or all of next week.

Lows may dip to near 0F in northern Minnesota starting this weekend, and stay there most of next week with highs in the teens.

High may not climb out of the 20s in the Twin Cities much of next week.

177 metty.PNG

Source: Iowa State University

The GFS is hinting at a chance for snow by next Thursday in the metro and southern Minnesota.

The GFS is not the most reliable model to say the least. But when it gets a notion of a snow system a week out it pays to keep an eye on it.

Stay tuned.


Comments are closed.