“June-Soon” moves in; Heavy rainfall “Bull’s Eye” over MN next 5 days?
Source: Twin Cities NWS (Click to embiggen)
4.84" GFS model rainfall total for MSP Airport through next Tuesday
4.6" ECMWF (European) model rainfall output
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Scattered showers today moving east
Radar: Latest Twin Cities radar loop
Heavy rains possible Thursday & Saturday?
Severe risk Thursday includes MSP area
Watch 131 years of global warming in 26 seconds
Minnesota: 3rd fastest warming state in the nation
.62F degrees per decade pace of warming in Minnesota
Colorado's "High Park Fire" smoke plume now overhead in Minnesota
Source: Twin Cities NWS
"June-Soon"
Here we go again.
Sunday's rain ended a dry stretch of 12 days from May 29 through June 9th. (.03")
Now the faucet is turning on again, and it looks like it may get cranked up to "high" in the next 72 hours.
Here's a look at the evolving wet weather pattern over the next 5-6 days.
The System: A slow moving upper level low pressure system sending waves of energy into Minnesota through the weekend into early next week.
Moisture: Dew points rising into the 60s and even 70s by Father's Day weekend.
Rainfall: Multi inch rainfall possible, with the heaviest rainfall likely Thursday and again Saturday night into Father's Day, Monday & Tuesday.
Take a look at some of the model guidance below. Anywhere from 3" to 6" rainfall totals are possible according to various models by next Tuesday.
Source: Iowa State University
Source: NOAA/HPC
Possible Effects: Hit or miss T-Storms with heavy tropical rainfall. Possible severe risk Thursday & Saturday-Tuesday? Another wave of rising river levels by early next week?
Colorado's "High Park Fire" sending smoke our way:
I posted extensively on this Tuesday, and the latest NOAA satellite shots indicate the smoke plume is riding over Minnesota and much of the Midwest now.
Source: NOAA/NESDIS
Here's a way to track the smoke plume from NOAA's NESDIS Fire Detection Program.
131 years of global warming in 26 seconds?
For those of you in a hurry who don't have 131 years to watch global warming happen, here's the quick version from Climate Central.
Source: Climate Central
Minnesota: We're #3! 3rd "fastest warming" state in the nation
Here's an eye opening study from Climate Central.
Source: Climate Central
Stay dry!
PH