Forecast: Hot August?


NOAA 8 to 14 day temp trend hints at August heat in the central U.S.

It figures. July was cool July in much of the Midwest and East. Here comes August and, according to the weather maps, here comes summer.

The medium range forecast models are advertising a significant and somewhat expected pattern change over the next two weeks. A chilly Canadian vortex is retreating northward, and a hot dome of summertime high pressure is taking over in the central part of the country. The NOAA temperature outlooks have picked up on this change, and the chances for above average temperatures are increasing in these parts over the next two weeks.

We’re due. Our 15th coolest July ran 3.2 degrees below average in the Twin Cities and it was the coolest July on record in International Falls. We’ve seen only five 90-degree days this year. The average is thirteen. From the looks of the weather maps we could add a few in the next two weeks. The first one may come as soon as Saturday in southern Minnesota and the metro.

It seems hard to believe, but there plenty of heat south of Minnesota this summer. All indications are it’s heading north as we move into August.

It’s tough to get lake water temperatures from northern Minnesota, but I’ll bet many of the northern lakes are still barely 60 degrees. I’m hoping they warm up a bit before the weather lab moves north into the Boundary Waters in late August!


  • Deb

    Thanks for the best news I’ve had all day. I’ve enjoyed the cooler, less mosquito-ey summer thus far, but I’m ready to toss a noodle into the lake, and while away an afternoon just floating around.