Open Thread: Your election results analysis

Polls are closed. So here’s the space for you — in the comments section below — to provide your own analysis as you watch the results. Or just howl at the political moon. Whatever makes you feel better after the two year marathon campaign.

The next one — 2020 –starts tomorrow. Get a good night’s sleep.

  • JohnOCFII

    What bothers me is that I don’t see any forward progress — ever again. People on side move things in one direction for 2 to 4 years. When the other side wins, they undo what progress had been made in one direction, and start pushing in another direction. Back and forth, back and forth. In the meantime, the rest of us lose.

    • Sonny T

      Both parties keep each other in check. Good.

    • jon

      We, as an electorate, have firmly stood against forward progress on the national stage for decades.

      The presidents party always loses seats in congress in the midterms, because no one really wants one party to have all the control.

      The real issue right now, as I see it, is that the things we should all be able to agree upon, like say actually doing something about russia manipulating our elections, we aren’t agreeing on… because the reality one party is pushing doesn’t match the reality we are living in.

  • Rob

    The Dem House win means that, at least for the time being, the country’s plunge toward autocracy will be held in check. Thank the gods for small favors.

  • Postal Customer

    Impressed with the DFL’s showing, and the deserved bloodbath for the GOP. Tim Walz will do a fantastic job carrying Mark Dayton’s legacy.

    Very proud of Minnesota this evening.

  • Joe

    I’m so relieved about:
    US House
    MN Gov

    and pleasantly surprised by:
    MN House

  • AL287

    We got constitutional checks and balances back.

    Whether that will control the petulant and reckless occupant in the White House remains to be seen.

    Relieved Walz won the governor’s race and the turnover of the Minnesota House.

  • ec99

    Was quite surprised at how badly Heidi Heitkamp was beaten in North Dakota. With the exception of the Red River Valley, and a couple other counties, the whole of the state went with Cramer. Don’t know if it was due to her previous praise of Obama and Clinton, her SCOTUS vote, or the sentiment that she just didn’t serve her constituents. Incumbents in the state generally win, whatever the party. The last senator to lose was Mark Andrews decades ago.

    • Kavanaugh, according to the pundits. I think she would’ve lost anyway. ND is too red for a blue senator.

      • ec99

        That seat had been Democrat since 1960: Burdick, Conrad, Heitkamp.

        • Barton

          But NoDak isn’t “blue” like it has been in the past.

          • ec99

            She lost the counties that had given her a razor-thin win in 2012.

          • Rob

            When was it ever blue?

          • ec99

            It was blue for over a half century when it sent Democrats to DC.

        • I think it’s like the Iron Range. Past results are no indication of future performance.

          • ec99

            Perhaps. But with 58 years of Democratic hegemony in the seat, you can chalk up the loss to one thing: Heidi blew it.

          • No, I don’t think so. Missouri had a history of Democratic senators too for a time. It wasn’t a fluke when Republicans won. Same in N.D.

          • ec99

            Desperate circumstances required desperate responses. It wasn’t just aligning herself with Obama and Clinton. Nor just the SCOTUS vote. Her campaign went off the rails:

            Publishing a list of abused women without their consent and, in some cases, women who had not been abused.

            Accusing Cramer of raising his salary as a commissioner, when it was the Legislature which is responsible for that. And then saying he didn’t have to accept it.

            Alienating the whole western part of the state, which got her elected in 2012.

      • jon

        I’m not trusting pundits much right now.

        Among the fun things I’ve read from national observers is that the difference in margins for Klobuchar and Smith in their victories says something about how Klobuchar can swing independants.
        Ignoring that smith wasn’t exactly an ideal candidate for various reasons, and the number of votes that would have split the ticket for Klobuchar and Housley(R) would have been about 70K (2%). And that Smiths “legal marijuana now” party competitor did some 30K votes better than Klobuchar’s… (all 3rd parties did better against Smith than Klobuchar, even the write ins…)

        Thinking the pundits are just talking to talk right now, and if they happen to be right then they’ll accept the praise for it… but if they are wrong then it’s not their fault, probably the data’s fault they didn’t look at it.

      • kevins

        She would have lost anyway…there is a stubborn, homogenious and powerful base in ND. I heard a recovering Republican on NPR this AM say that the R party is angry, uneducated and white..ND comes to mind.

  • Barton

    things went better than I expected for me. I was a bit disturbed about how close the AG race was, but as I watched the news anchors talk I was reminded that they only seem to discuss the allegations against Ellison, not the history of Wardlaw. I’d like to believe if the 48% (or whatever the final number is) that voted for Wardlaw had been aware of his own alleged ties to extremist beliefs they wouldn’t have voted for him. But then again, sometimes I can be a bit of a Pollyanna…..

  • Barton

    I supported Walz since he started his campaign and yet I was still surprised by how excited and hopeful his acceptance speech made me feel! I was pumped by his One Minnesota talk. And love the fact that we’ve elected the first Native American to an executive office in the US with Peggy Flanagan!

  • Jack

    I went cold turkey after voting and didn’t watch any results until our son turned on the 10:00 news. Hate to say it, but it made me feel better by keeping my anxiety in check. On presidential years, I normally take the next day off to recover from sleep deprivation.

    Happy with the Minnesota results and even happier to return to normal advertising. Pharma ads never looked so good…. 🙂

    • Barton

      that was my plan. Sadly I was up until 11:0 when I decided we wouldn’t know Hennepin Cty Sheriff or AG any time soon. And then I woke up at 3am and we only knew one of those races….

  • Kassie

    I’m quite pleased that two Cannabis parties did better than 5%. This allows me to work as an election judge at the next election declared as one of these parties (haven’t figured out which one.) So when “party balance” is needed on a task, it can be and a Democrat. Or me and someone from the other Cannabis party. Strange times.

  • disqus_YFtTHILLJT

    I would really like to see all of the politicians representing Minnesotans echo governor-elect Walz’s “One Minnesota” campaign theme.
    Can you all please work togeather and find some middle ground that benefits the state as a whole.
    Perhaps you can start by socializing with each other, so that you start seeing each other as people and not the enemy.

  • The Resistance

    As a democrat I was pleased, overall. But I would be happy to see Nancy Pelosi relinquish her leadership role. I think she is one of the primary reasons the party has become competetive in mostly urban areas. There’s no way a democrat running in WI-1 or WV-3 or TX-31 can ask the house leader to campaign for them. She’s politically toxic in areas that have exciting, viable democratic candidates. That’s unacceptable in a party leader.

    • Trump is going to spend two years running against Pelosi nationwide. He’ll drop the “caravan” like a hot potato now. He doesn’t need it. He’s got her now.

    • Rob

      I totally concur. Once the dust has settled (say, six months from now), Pelosi should step aside and anoint a new, female House member to the post. Even though Pelosi has been a very effective leader, she can still serve her fundraising role without holding the gavel. If she stays in power and T.Rump does not have a massive heart attack in the meantime, Pelosi’s presence as Speaker will help ensure a 2020 win for the White Nationalist-in-Chief.

      • The Resistance

        Democrats have been good at grooming new candidates, but horrible at grooming new leadership. Which is a sign of poor leadership.
        Cheri Bustos-IL-17 and Seth Moulton-MA-6 would be fresh, effective voices. Steny Hoyer and Nancy Pelosi are never going to grow the party.

  • Jack Ungerleider

    I don’t think anyone should be surprised that the DFL swept the statewide races. The last Republican to win statewide was Pawlenty when he was re-elected in 2006. Since then the DFL has had a lock on the constitutional offices, the senate seats, and in Presidential years the President.

    There was a quote from a suburban GOP state senator during the coverage on Morning Edition that I think will influence the upcoming session. The senator who saw his GOP House colleagues fall in the suburban tsunami that flipped the 2nd and 3rd Congressional districts seemed to think that cooperation sounded like a good course of action. I’m cynical (in the extreme) but I think he’s motivated by trying to keep his seat in 2 years.

    • jon

      Oh come now, in presidential years MN has been blue since the Carter administration.

      Only DC has a longer streak of being blue on electoral maps.

      Even when we have state wide elections go to republicans they are left of the national party…
      The question, this and every year, is can a republican even be far enough left of the national party to win in Minnesota and still get the nomination.

      • They’d be tied with Massaschusetts if Mondale hadn’t been from Minnesota.

        • jon

          I read somewhere that MN and Virginia are the only states vote for the same party in 10 or more presidential elections in a row, while also voted for the other party in 10 or more presidential elections in a row.

          We are also have the 7th longest streak of states voting democrat in presidential elections in the history of the nation… with most of the others being in the south prior to the southern strategy. Only 9 more presidential elections voting blue to beat out Georgia for being the most blue state for the longest.

      • Jack Ungerleider

        My take on your last question is: they could win a primary, but not the endorsement. The question then is would it happen? Recent history indicates no.

  • Amy

    Personally, I’m delighted to see how badly Erik Paulsen lost CD3.

    • Rob

      Yes. Schadenfreude is not generally something to be encouraged, but in the cases of Paulsen and Jason “Piggy” Lewis, I think the gods will forgive us.

    • The Resistance

      Me too. I’m assuming he’s going to his interview with AstraZeneca Pharmaceticals lobbying office this morning. And Jason Lewis will not be missed as my rep.

      Yet, it seemed just like more of The Big Sort with urban/suburban 2 and 3 going democratic and 1 and 8 going republican.

      We didn’t shift the balance of our representation, we just confirmed that outstate is getting redder and the greater metro area is getting bluer.

      Democrats have to figure that out because the current game rules are written to give more voting power to rural citizens.

  • Karl Crabkiller

    Minnesota Democrats did well but nationwide have to be disappointed. Over the last 60 years the party in opposition to the sitting president has on average gained 30 house and 4 senate seats. This election was not a blue wave nationally nor a rebuke of the president or his policies.

    • It was almost impossible, given the seats that were up in the Senate this election, for Democrats to gain seats, let alone take control of the Senate. That’s just the way the pieces fell.

      • boB from WA

        Not to mention how most districts have been gerrymandered to favor the red party.

        • Veronica

          Gerrymandering doesn’t matter in Senate races. State borders are pretty well set by now.

          • boB from WA

            Oops, you are correct. Please accept my apologies.

    • Rob

      You must be getting your election info from a source other than legitimate, fact-based media.

  • Rob Bruening

    My ward elected someone who wrote some almost unintelliginble answers to the voter guide and then fell completely off the grid. He won because he was the only one on the ballot. We had two solid write in candidates, 1 of whom had pretty good sign coverage, but between them they only managed about 10% of the vote.

    The discussion in our community facebook group is a collective “who is this guy, and what had we gotten ourselves into?” Voting is great, but if you haven’t done a little research, don’t just fill in the bubble on the local races.