Health care repeal attempt: Whom do you believe?

Two of the main goals of House Republicans in Congress are repealing the health care bill and cutting the deficit. Today the Congressional Budget Office tossed a grenade into the plan when it issued a report suggesting repealing the health care bill will increase the deficit.

According to the CBO blog:

As a result of changes in direct spending and revenues, CBO expects that enacting H.R. 2 would probably increase federal budget deficits over the 2012-2019 period by a total of roughly $145 billion (on the basis of the original estimate), plus or minus the effects of technical and economic changes that CBO and JCT will include in the forthcoming estimate. Adding two more years (through 2021) brings the projected increase in deficits to something in the vicinity of $230 billion, plus or minus the effects of technical and economic changes.

The Congressional Budget Office acknowledged that the repeal of the health care law would allow health insurance premiums to drop slightly, but that’s only a technical savings. Reality is much different.

Although premiums in the individual market would be lower, on average, under H.R. 2 than under current law, many people would end up paying more for health insurance–because under current law, the majority of enrollees purchasing coverage in that market would receive subsidies via the insurance exchanges, and H.R. 2 would eliminate those subsidies.

Republican House Majority Leader Eric Cantor dismissed the CBO’s assessment. “I think what we do know is the health care bill costs over $1 trillion,” Cantor said. “And we know it was full of budget gimmickry. And it spends money we don’t have in this country.”

Pick your poison.

  • Bob Moffitt

    Thank you for adding the word “attempt” to your headline, Bob.

    The plain truth is there will almost certainly be no repeal, nor replacement of the current health care reform law. Neither can happen without the support of the Senate and the President, so the law will stand.

    I doubt if the courts will overturn it, either. It will likely end up with the Supreme Court, but I can’t see it being thrown out on constitutional grounds.

    What the House leaders are doing is pure political theater. Nothing more.

  • MR

    If Rep. Cantor doesn’t believe the CBO’s assessment on this bill, what is his plan for determining the cost of any other proposed bill? Is his plan to just pick and choose the assessments that he likes?

  • MR

    Via If the Affordable Care Act did increase the deficit, why did the new house rules explicitly exempt an attempted repeal of the Affordable Care Act from the cut-as-you-go-rule?

    “(C) exempt the budgetary effects of measures — (i) repealing the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act and title I and 3 subtitle B of title II of the Health Care and Education Affordability Reconciliation Act of 2010;”

  • JackU

    I’m with Bob Moffitt on this. It’s political theater. They can do it in the house to satisfy those within their constituency and ranks that would require it as a fulfillment of a campaign promise.

    I suspect they would be taking more time on this if they thought there was any chance that it would be more than a show.

  • BJ

    By no way would you mistake me for a laywer, but I think a Federal Judge did rule that the health care law was not constitutional. Not sure what district but think it was in VA.

    Guessing what the Supreme Court will do is not somthing I would bet on.

    Key quote from

    “Neither the Supreme Court nor any federal circuit court of appeals has extended Commerce Clause powers to compel an individual to involuntarily enter the stream of commerce by purchasing a commodity in the private market . . . At its core, the dispute is not simply about regulating the business of insurance—or crafting a scheme of universal health insurance coverage—it’s about an individual’s right to choose to participate.”

  • Elizabeth T

    Pick your poison, yes.

    Just don’t expect to have anyone cover the dr. bills afterwards.

    The health care bill is not perfect. Nothing enacted by Congress is. It usually winds up being a complete mish-mash. Why? Because it is a mish-mash of individual politicians trying to compromise with each other.

    There has not been enough time to allow people to actually appreciate any changes (good or bad). So the repeal of this will be equally unfelt. Why don’t I hear anyone praising the results of the health care act?


    Federal judges have ruled that segregation is constitutional, too. Our understanding – and willingness to consider – things as (un)Constitutional changes along with Society’s generally prevailing opinions. And, anyone who thinks judges are completely non-partisan is naive.

    A person’s willingness to participate in federal programs is irrelevant, constitutionally speaking. We are all obliged to pay federal income tax, FICA tax, register for Selective Service (well, the men are) and possess a US passport to re-enter the country. We can’t opt-out of these federally regulated laws just because we don’t like them. (One can argue, however, that all of the above laws as well as anything the federal government does is un-constitutional.)

  • Tanya P

    I have an 8 year old son that this past year was diagnosed with cancer. I have had a private individual insurance plan for him, my daughter and I for years now. The rates keep going up every year and it is barely affordable due to trying to keep a reasonable deductible. My husband gets his health insurance through his small company and my work doesn’t offer any health insurance at all. We basically live paycheck to paycheck with making enough a year to not be able to get any state help. My point is that we are a normal family of four with 2 cars and own our home but if anything goes wrong, we would go into bankruptcy easily. Knowing that this health care reform is here is a huge relief to an already stressful situation. Knowing that my son will not get kicked off insurance due to having cancer is a feeling of security and one less thing I know that I will have to deal with in the oncoming year as my son goes through chemo. With all the tests and the 4 surgeries he has gone through bills add up fast. It is nice knowing that all those years of paying high premiums the insurance company will not be able to kick us out when we need it the most just because they are a business and are in it for the money. I’ve heard too many stories in the past of this happening and I am glad my family will not be a statistic.