While we like to say — accurately — that polls are merely a snapshot in time, let’s face it: We view them as the predictors they aren’t. So we can judge who nailed it, and who didn’t. Keep the margin-of-error in mind.
As I type this, it’s Dayton 44%, Emmer 43% and Horner 12%. Compare:
|Survey USA (10/27)||39||38||13||B+|
|St. Cloud State(10/21)Likely voters||40||30||19||D|
|St. Cloud State(10/21)All respondents||37||27||18||D|