Slight severe weather risk this afternoon and tonight

Another July cool front

It feels more like Labor Day than late July in Minnesota.

The next shot of cool Canadian air is coming south tonight and Friday. Ahead of the front today, enough moisture and instability for scattered storms. There is a risk that a few of these could become severe later today and tonight as the front pushes south.

Image: Twin Cities NWS

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center paints a slight risk for southern Minnesota today.

Image: NOAA SPC

It’s not the best severe weather setup I’ve seen…but not the worst either.  These “weak synoptic environments” can be tricky for pinpointing the timing for development and location of severe storms. The GOES 1km visible  satellite ”mesoanalysis” shows weak winds…and dew points near 60 degrees pooling ahead of the front today.

Image: NOAA via College of Dupage

Again today…the front will linger near the Twin Cities this afternoon. There is a chance that most of the storms may develop just south of the metro if the front slides through before storms can fire similar to Monday. It’s going to be close.

Keep an eye out for possible strong storms later today…especially south of the metro.

-Latest Twin Cities radar loop