Icy start gives way to PM slop fest; Arctic relapse tomorrow; 30s return by Sunday?

MSP quick look forecast:

280 ql.PNG

Icy start gives way to sloppy wet roads as temps gradually warm above freezing today

Icy: Anywhere from .10″ to .20″ of glaze ice reported this morning from metro to Eau Claire & St. Cloud on untreated roadways, sidewalks & parking lots

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN

159 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

0151 AM FREEZING RAIN ST CLOUD 45.55N 94.17W

01/29/2013 E0.20 INCH STEARNS MN BROADCAST MEDIA

EXTENSIVE COVERAGE OF ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY ARE GLAZED

WITH ICE. NUMEROUS VEHICLES IN THE DITCH.

Dense Fog eases gradually today

32F temps hovering a degree or two either side of freezing this morning, warming above freezing today

Freezing from below? Ground temps still sub-freezing from recent cold….melt & drizzle can freeze on contact with sub-freezing pavement

Windshield Washer Fluid Alert: You’ll need it later today

Icy underfoot: Expect icy spots on anything untreated today where temps are at or below freezing…that includes your driveway & walkways. Remember, many injuries from ice come from falls…something we often forget in Minnesota.

Well treated roads may (hopefully) be just wet.

Tale of 2 storm systems:

Minnesota & the Twin Cities are literally surrounded by storms today.

Storm #1 dumped heavy snow up north and brought glaze ice to the metro.

280 dlh wxs.png

Image: Duluth NWS

Storm #2 rocked Madison, Milwaukee & Chicago with heavy rain, thunder & lightning overnight.

Rare January heavy T-Storms in Chicago dumped 1″ hail and 1.13″ rain fell in 30 minutes Monday night.

Check out the Chicago radar loop. The black boxes are cloud to ground lightning strikes that peppered the Chicago area, Madison & Milwaukee overnight.

280 Chi radar.gif

Tornado watches are out for Oklahoma & Missouri today.

280 tor watches.PNG

Image: Iowa Emergency Management

Severe Outbreak: SPC has pasted a modearte risk for severe storms out for much of Arkansas today…with a slight risk all the way north to Illinois.

280 risk.PNG

Image: NOAA/SPC

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0409 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES…SOME STRONG…OVER PARTS OF THE OZARK REGION AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

MUCH OF SOUTHERN…CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS

FAR NORTHERN LOUISIANA

FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

FAR SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE

FAR NORTHEAST TEXAS

Springtime in January?

It feels like spring today in much of the Midwest with temps in teh 60s and even 70s. Chicago will set records today with highs in the 60s.

280 MaxT1_uppermissvly.png

Kansas set all time record highs for Janaury Monday with mid 70s. Topeka, Kansas shattered the old record of 67F by a full 10 degrees with a high of 77F Monday!

RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS

1241 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

…RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET FOR MONDAY…JANUARY 28TH…AND FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY AT TOPEKA KS…

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 77 DEGREES WAS SET AT BILLARD AIRPORT IN TOPEKA KS MONDAY…JANUARY 28TH AT 331 PM. THIS SETS THE RECORD FOR THE HIGHEST TEMPERATURE BOTH FOR THIS DAY AND FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY.

THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR MONDAY…JANUARY 28TH WAS 67 DEGREES…SET IN 1917. THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY WAS 74 DEGREES…FIRST SET ON JANUARY 2…1939 AND THEN TIED ON JANUARY 8…2003.

Minnesota’s Arctic relapse tomorrow:

Closer to home…we warm up above freezing later today…so any icy conditions should “improve” into a repeat of the sloppy mess we saw Monday. The metro will be on the edge of some light snow tonight as the next wave dumps snow in southeast Minnesota & Wisconsin.

Bitter winds return Wednesday as the next arctic front drops south. Temps will bottom out Thursday morning near -10F in the inner metro…to -15F in the suburbs. Northern Minnesota will again shiver through -25F to -35F…even -40F is possible again in a few spots.

280 wxs.png

Last of the sub-zero cold?

It’s probably too early to write off sub-zero cold just yet, but I think there’s a good chance Thursday will be our last shot at a sub-zero high temp in the metro this winter.

The longer range trends are encouraging. A milder…and wetter weather pattern looks to take hold by Sunday…and may last for the next few weeks.

280 16 day.PNG

There are signs we may move into a wetter…potentially snowier pattern in the next two weeks. Don’t bet the farm…but the GFS is hinting at a trend of snow around the weekend of February 9th & 10th.

280 gfs.PNG

It’s still too early to say if this has any weather “street cred”…but the trends are encouraging.

Now, where’s my extra jug of windshield washer fluid?

PH

  • Disco

    60+ in Chicago. Good grief.

    Twin Cities on the wrong side of the front, as usual.