“June-Soon” moves in; Heavy rainfall “Bull’s Eye” over MN next 5 days?

52 msp ql.PNG

Source: Twin Cities NWS (Click to embiggen)

4.84″ GFS model rainfall total for MSP Airport through next Tuesday

4.6″ ECMWF (European) model rainfall output

Scattered showers today moving east

Radar: Latest Twin Cities radar loop

Heavy rains possible Thursday & Saturday?

Severe risk Thursday includes MSP area

Watch 131 years of global warming in 26 seconds

Minnesota: 3rd fastest warming state in the nation

.62F degrees per decade pace of warming in Minnesota

Colorado’s “High Park Fire” smoke plume now overhead in Minnesota

52 wxs.png

Source: Twin Cities NWS

“June-Soon”

Here we go again.

Sunday’s rain ended a dry stretch of 12 days from May 29 through June 9th. (.03″)

Now the faucet is turning on again, and it looks like it may get cranked up to “high” in the next 72 hours.

Here’s a look at the evolving wet weather pattern over the next 5-6 days.

The System: A slow moving upper level low pressure system sending waves of energy into Minnesota through the weekend into early next week.

Moisture: Dew points rising into the 60s and even 70s by Father’s Day weekend.

Rainfall: Multi inch rainfall possible, with the heaviest rainfall likely Thursday and again Saturday night into Father’s Day, Monday & Tuesday.

Take a look at some of the model guidance below. Anywhere from 3″ to 6″ rainfall totals are possible according to various models by next Tuesday.

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Source: Iowa State University

52 5 day.gif

Source: NOAA/HPC

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Possible Effects: Hit or miss T-Storms with heavy tropical rainfall. Possible severe risk Thursday & Saturday-Tuesday? Another wave of rising river levels by early next week?

Colorado’s “High Park Fire” sending smoke our way:

I posted extensively on this Tuesday, and the latest NOAA satellite shots indicate the smoke plume is riding over Minnesota and much of the Midwest now.

52 fire smoke plume.PNG

Source: NOAA/NESDIS

Here’s a way to track the smoke plume from NOAA’s NESDIS Fire Detection Program.

131 years of global warming in 26 seconds?

For those of you in a hurry who don’t have 131 years to watch global warming happen, here’s the quick version from Climate Central.

Source: Climate Central

Minnesota: We’re #3! 3rd “fastest warming” state in the nation

Here’s an eye opening study from Climate Central.

52 mn warming.PNG

52 warming map.PNG

Source: Climate Central

Stay dry!

PH

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