Thundery night? Shower & T-Storm chances tonight
Low pressure system grazing southern MN tonight
Growing chance of showers & possible T-Storms tonight from the metro south
"Slight Risk" for severe storms from SPC for southern MN
(as close as the southern metro?)
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"Hailers?" Hail and gusty winds possible with any storms tonight
Quieter week ahead - Generally drier, sunnier and cooler the rest of this week starting Tuesday PM
"Integrated Warning Team" Twin Cities NWS , emergency managers and meteorologists teaming up to improve notification of severe weather disasters in Minnesota and Wisconsin. (Details below)
Source: NWS
Growing Shower & T-Storm chances tonight:
A slow moving low pressure system and warm front in southern Minnesota brings a growing chance (opportunity!) for some much needed rainfall tonight. Showers and possible T-Storms may bust out, and cover much of southern Minnesota overnight.
The latest RUC (Rapid Update Cycle) model suggests a cluster of storms breaking out between 7pm and 10pm in southern MN. The best window for showers & possible T-Storms appears to be between 10pm and 2am for the metro.
Southwest Minnesota favored for development this evening.
Source: College of DuPage Weather Lab
Slight Risk:
NOAA's SPC has bumped up the "slight risk" area for severe storms to include southern Minnesota, and the far southern Metro.
Source: NOAA
Much needed rainfall?
My lawn and I are hopeful this trend is right. The latest RUC model cranks out .70" of rainfall for the metro overnight. We'll have to see how widespread any storms are that do develop, but we could really use a decent soaking!
Source: Iowa State University
Twin Cities NWS "Integrated Warning Team"
I'll be attending a workshop this week with several other meteorologists form the NWS and media to try and improve our communication and notification of severe weather warnings in the area. After the devastating effects of the Joplin and Tuscaloosa tornadoes last spring, this is timely stuff.
A few details here:
Don't be surprised if you hear some thunder tonight or the pitter patter of much needed rainfall on your roof.
PH