Active: Sunday storm mostly north; Still watching “major” Tuesday potential

Winter storm warnings out for northern Minnesota Sunday

5" to 10"+ possible for Grand Forks, Fargo, Bemidji, International Falls, Iron Range, Ely & North Shore communities

Quick coating to 1" possible in the metro Sunday

Still watching "major" storm potential for Tuesday & Wednesday in much of Minnesota

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What you need to know first: Sunday snow will be heavy "Up North"

The long advertised storm is still on track for northern Minnesota Sunday. Expect heavy snow and difficult travel along and north of a Fargo-Brainerd-Duluth line Sunday.

The Twin Cities and central Minnesota will be on the southern edge of the storm, but still may pick up some accumulating snow early Sunday.

Watch for updated advisories and snowfall totals here Sunday:

-Red River Valley NWS

-Duluth NWS

-Twin Cities NWS

-Latest Twin Cities radar loop

Next storm Tuesday & Wednesday: Potentially "Major"

The active storm train over Minnesota continues, and I'm still keeping an eye on the next storm headed for Minnesota for Tuesday & Wednesday.

This one looks like it's coming father south, and could affect more of central Minnesota (and maybe the metro) with heavy snow and even rain in southern Minnesota.

GFS model paints (another) major winter storm Tuesday. Twin Cities on the rain/snow line?

With the poor (okay abysmal) model performance of the past two weeks it would be silly to start throwing out potential snowfall amounts yet. Suffice to say at this point that the storm could be major, with heavy totals Tuesday & Wednesday.

There are still several factors that could change this storm and severely impact snowfall totals.

-Shifting storm track (Where have we seen that movie before??)

-Warm air intrusion changing snow to rain in southern Minnesota (and maybe in the metro)

The models have been spitting out wildly varying snowfall totals with the system...literally from 4" to 25" for areas in and near the metro.

Let's see what Sunday's model runs do, and if we can get some consistency on track and thermal profile within the possible storm.

***Suffice to say at this point there is the potential for heavy snow in much of central Minnesota (and maybe the metro) Tuesday and Wednesday***

Stay tuned for updates, and prepare for snowy travel in northern Minnesota through Sunday night!

PH