Twin Cities: 8th snowiest winter, Snow on track Wednesday

“We’re #8! We’re #8!”

We’re moving up the ladder on the top 10 snowiest winter list.

Our “official” Sunday snowfall of 2.1″ at MSP Airport brings our season snowfall total to a whopping, snow blower testing, ice dam forming, 78.7″!

Here’s the tally from Twin Cities NWS:

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We’re #8!

The metro is now just 5.4″ away from 5th place on the list. The season total to date tracks on par with the top 5 highest snowfall totals on record for MSP.

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I think there is a good chance we’ll end up in the top 5 snowiest winters when the season is (hopefully!) done in April.

Wednesday storm: Still mostly on track

My snowfall forecast remains at a range 1″ to 4″ for the metro by late Wednesday. I also still think the heavy snow band will set up from northern Iowa thorugh SE MN and into western Wisconsin.

Winter storm watches are in effect Tuesday night and Wednesday.

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I still expect potentially heavy snowfall of 6″ to 10″ to the southeast by late Wednesday. Think Ames, Mason City, Albert Lea, Rochester, Winona, Red Wing, Wabasha, La Crosse, Tomah, Menomonie, Eau Claire & Wausau.

Today’s model runs try to track the low ever so slightly north from last night’s track…but also seem to weaken the northwest side of the system. The bottom line is I do not see any reason to vary my thinking based on the latest model runs at this point.

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My latest forecast thinking remains the same as my morning analysis. You can check out the full storm analysis with my forecast snow totals for specific areas on my Updraft post from this morning.

Let’s see what the Monday night & Tuesday AM model runs show. There is still plenty of time before the snow flies.

PH

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