Forecast: Rain chances looking better

We’re on track.

I’m watching a hopeful set of forecast models hinting at a decent soaking rain tomorrow night into Thursday. The models look consistent and promising, but when you’re in a drought the meteorologist is always asking…”Okay what can go wrong here?”

So far not much. If anything the tendency with these systems that spin in from the northwest is to track them farther south into Iowa. That’s been the trend over the past several months. So far this one looks to be taking dead aim at the drought stricken southern half of Minnesota and much of Wisconsin. The Twin Cities NWS forecast discussion agrees, and has inserted the “likely” word into the forecast with a 60% to 70% chance of rain attached.

As I said to Tom Crann a few minutes ago, this looks like the best chance for a decent widespread soaking rain all summer. Farmers with corn in the field from Redwood Falls east to the Twin Cities will be hoping the forecast models are right. This would be a good time for a soaker.

The forecast models are cranking out a wide area of between half an inch and an inch of rain. I’ll keep an eye on this system as it slides our way Wednesday night. Until then, enjoy our cool breezy and rather pleasant September like weather.

PH

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