Chalk up another glorious weekend in Minnesota.

Our weather pattern across the Upper Midwest is stuck in bliss mode for now. The same hemispheric blocking pattern that has stalled weather systems across North America continues to bring sunshine and easterly winds under the back edge of cool Canadian high pressure this weekend. The large high centered over Hudson Bay is keeping rain systems stalled over the east coast and Rockies, with Minnesota in between.

Loop of the short range forecasts

Here’s the breakdown for the next week. More sunny days and a gradual warming trend next week. The next hint if rain hold off until at least Wednesday.

Weatherspark – NOAA GFS data

Joaquin spares east coast

The east coast can breathe a sigh of relief from a direct hit from Joaquin as he steers east this weekend.

[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]

However, a stalled frontal system separate from Joaquin still brings heavy rains, and potential flooding for the Carolinas and mid-Atlantic this weekend.

As forecast models continue to grapple for consensus on the eventual track of Hurricane Joaquin, there is a growing trend. Most of the models seem to be coming more into agreement with the ECMWF model’s notion of an easterly track that keeps the powerful and dangerous hurricane out to sea and away from the US coastline. It’s still too early to be sure the US will avoid a direct hit from Joaquin, but a distinct shift in that direction has occurred. Read more