While we like to say — accurately — that polls are merely a snapshot in time, let’s face it: We view them as the predictors they aren’t. So we can judge who nailed it, and who didn’t. Keep the margin-of-error in mind.
As I type this, it’s Dayton 44%, Emmer 43% and Horner 12%. Compare:
|Poll/Date ||Dayton ||Emmer ||Horner ||Grade |
|Pub.Policy -10/29 ||43 ||40 ||15 ||A- |
|Survey USA (10/27) ||39 ||38 ||13 ||B+ |
|MPR/Humphrey (10/25) ||41 ||29 ||11 ||D |
|Star Tribune ||41 ||34 ||13 ||D |
|St. Cloud State(10/21)Likely voters ||40 ||30 ||19 ||D |
|St. Cloud State(10/21)All respondents ||37 ||27 ||18 ||D |
|Rasmussen (10/20) ||44 ||41 ||10 ||B+ |
About the blogger
Bob Collins has been with Minnesota Public Radio since 1992, emigrating to Minnesota from Massachusetts. He was senior editor of news in the ’90s, ran MPR’s political unit, created the MPR News regional website, invented the popular Select A Candidate, started the two most popular blogs in the history of MPR and every day laments that his Minnesota Fantasy Legislature project never caught on.
NewsCut is a blog featuring observations about the news. It provides a forum for an online discussion and debate about events that might not typically make the front page. NewsCut posts are not news stories but reflections , observations, and debate.