Poll: Opposition outweighs support for amendments, Obama up by 8

A new poll out just days before the election shows that majorities now oppose both constitutional amendments on Tuesday’s ballot.

Public Policy Polling (PPP), a firm linked to Democrats, says 52 percent of Minnesotans will vote against the proposal to define marriage as between one man and one woman in the state constitution, while 45 percent will vote for it largely because of a generational divide between the state’s oldest and youngest voters.

A majority of seniors support the amendment, but every other age group opposes it, according to PPP. Roughly 62 percent of people under 30 say they will vote against the proposal.

Meanwhile, 51 percent of Minnesota’s voters say they’ll oppose a constitutional amendment that would require voters to show photo identification at the polls while 46 percent will support it. Democrats and Republicans are equally opposed to the amendment, with Democrats shifting to oppose the amendment in the last few months.

The survey, which was conducted between Nov. 2-3 of 1,164 likely voters, has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.

PPP also looked at the presidential race and found President Barack Obama leading by 8 percentage points in Minnesota. Obama has 53 percent support here while Mitt Romney has 45 percent.

Those numbers reflect most other recent polls that give Obama a comfortable lead here, but they contradict a recent story line that Minnesota is in play for Republicans, one bolstered by last-minute visits from each campaign.

Today, Romney running mate Rep. Paul Ryan will hold a rally at the Minneapolis-St. Paul airport and Obama surrogate Bill Clinton will be visiting St. Cloud.