Quinnipiac Poll: Bachmann surges, Pawlenty goes wrong way

The latest 2012 poll shows GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann surging into second place – making her the top contender to perceived GOP front-runner Mitt Romney.

The latest Quinnipiac University national poll shows Romney with support from 25 percent of those polled. Bachmann has support from 14 percent of those polled. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who hasn’t announced whether she’ll run, is polling at 12 percent. Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who hasn’t announced his intentions yet, has support of ten percent of those surveyed.

Tim Pawlenty has support from three percent of those polled and is in seventh place among the candidates listed. Pawlenty has recently said that he’s not focused on polling data as he makes his case to the voters. But what should be most troubling is that he’s been on the campaign trail longer than many of the other candidates and still isn’t catching fire.

In fact, Pawlenty’s poll numbers didn’t move when poll respondents were asked who they would pick if Palin and Perry didn’t run.

The most troubling sign: Pawlenty’s numbers were higher in Quinnipiac’s previous polls than the July survey.

The survey also found that the nation is split on President Obama. 47 percent say they would vote to give Obama another term. 47 percent say they would not. Obama wins the head to head match ups against Bachmann, Romney, Palin and Perry.

  • Rich

    Listen closely, you can almost hear Mr. Pawlenty gasping for breath as Ms. Bachmann continues to suck all the remaining conservative oxygen.

  • Rich

    Listen closely, you can almost hear Mr. Pawlenty gasping for breath as Ms. Bachmann continues to suck up all the remaining conservative oxygen.

  • Pat McGee

    TPaw is not going the “wrong” way. He is going down for the count-just as he so richly deserves.

  • danno

    Thank you Pat McGee. You said a mouthful in a few words. Keep the faith.

  • MD Hanson

    A man who stands against everything another does stands for nothing. Good to see people see right through TPaw.

  • Chris

    I’m no Pawlenty fan, and I’d be thrilled to see him drop out months in advance to “spend more time with his family” or stay in the race and wind up with fewer votes than Ron Paul, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves. John Kerry and John McCain were both written off for dead in 2003 and 2007, respectively, and both went on to win their parties’ nominations. Obama was getting a lot of “Why isn’t he doing better against Hillary??” pieces written about him in 2007. One lesson I’ve learned is that, at maximum, only 20 percent of the primary electorate is actually paying much attention at this point, and the other 80 percent won’t seriously start thinking about who they’re going to support until two weeks before they have to vote.

  • labman57

    Upcoming Bachmann political ad: “I am not a flake. I’m like you …”

    Bachmann insists that she is not a flake. “I am a serious person”.

    Translation: “I regret if any of my previous irrational , factually baseless, but completely candid remarks have damaged my image and credibility. I promise to try harder to stay on script in order to create the illusion that I’m not utterly ignorant and batsh*t crazy.”

    Methinks Michele has a bit more work to do …

    Michele Bachmann’s banal, nonsensical rhetoric is 30% demagoguery, 20% derisive snark, 20% paranoid delusion, and 30% the result of being an ignorant dumbsh*t.

    I would really like to see someone actually challenge Bachmann during a debate or interview by making her defend the long shopping list of baseless accusations and reality-devoid proclamations that she has made during the past 2-3 years.

    Typical exchange between Michele and an interviewer:

    “So Congresswoman Bachmann, tell us about your views regarding the health care reform legislation that Congress passed last year.”

    “Obamacare is socialism …”, followed by a wide grin and bug-eyed stare at the camera. And when asked to elaborate, she’ll reply “Obamacare is socialism …” while grinning and giving another creepy stare.

    I think that the Republican Party as a whole is ready to nominate a woman, …. but it ought to be one that has a reasonable chance to actually win. It would also be wise to nominate someone who:

    - doesn’t have a penchant for making accusations or basing public policy proposals on rumor, innuendo, and unsubstantiated anecdotes

    - can discuss relevant issues without invoking God, and

    - doesn’t feel compelled to proclaim that those with opposing points of view are somehow less American than those who support her.

    Bachmann is just another delusional tea party brown-nosing homophobe who pretentiously claims to be doing “God’s work” — using biased interpretations of cherry-picked biblical passages to justify her brand of social intolerance and religious self-righteousness.

    In addition, someone who regards herself as the Queen of White Tea could possibly win the GOP nomination, but she is much too far from the ideological mainstream to garner enough support from the rest of the voting populace to win a presidential election.

  • Jamie

    // “…but she is much too far from the ideological mainstream to garner enough support from the rest of the voting populace to win a presidential election.” //

    Excellent, well-written post, labman57. Please don’t think, though, that she can be written off. A lot of people thought Dubya could never win, too. Republicans are R E A L L Y good at marketing their candidates, so even if she’s wack-o and her “doctor” husband is operating a questionable business with questionable credentials, remember what we knew about Dubya that made it look like he could never win.